Since the All-Star break, including last night’s 5-0 win over the Reds, the Cubs are 20-10.
In that time, their road record is 11-5, and at home they’re 9-5.
They may have conquered their road woes, winning their last 3 series and going 9-1 in those games. Or, maybe it’s just a hot streak, although they haven’t had one like that on the road all season, so it seems to be more than that.
In their wins, they’ve scored 158 runs, and given up only 63, which works out to per-game averages of 7.9 runs scored, and 4.75 run differential. Almost 5 runs per game better than the opponent. That is pretty good.
In their losses, they’ve given up 42 runs, scored only 12, for differential of -3 runs per game.
Overall runs in the 30 games is 170-105, which is 5.67 runs scored vs. 3.5 allowed, and a differential of 2.17.
Here are the scores in the losses:
2-1 4-1 2-0 9-2 3-2 3-2 3-0 2-0 12-3 2-1
tot: 42-12 avg: 4.2 – 1.2 diff: 3.0 rpg
9-0 10-6 6-3 9-6 6-4 7-1 7-2 11-4 5-1 8-5 11-7 11-4 3-2 6-2 10-2 8-0 11-7 6-5 9-2 5-0
tot: 158-63 avg: 7.9 – 3.15 diff: 4.75 rpg
Overall runs scored vs. allowed: 170 – 105
It’s risky to try to draw conclusions from all this, except the obvious: that they’re playing extremely well right now. The optimist in me wants to assign it to “putting it all together for a championship run”, but the realist in me knows that it’s a very very long season, and teams go through good spells and bad spells. So we’ll just have to wait and see what happens.
Plus, the National League is just pitiful. A whole collection of lousy teams, with a few exceptions. The Cubs look to be the only truly quality team in the league. But that doesn’t mean much if you don’t prove it, on the field, against the other good teams, in October.
One stat I’d like to see is the number of innings they’ve been ahead, vs. tied or behind. I have no idea where to find such a stat. But I think it would show that they’ve been dominant in that department, and I also think that stat is very important, and probably correlates very well with teams that win the World Series.
Looking ahead, from 8/19 until September 3, the Cubs play 13 out of their 16 games at home. They face Cincinnati, Washington, Philadelphia (4), and Houston at home, and Pittsburgh on the road in the middle (8/25-27), with no off days. Then an off day on 9/4.
Starting 9/5 through the end of the season on 9/28, they play 16 out of 22 on the road: Cincinnati, St. Louis, Houston, than Milwaukee and St. Louis at home, then back on the road to face the Mets (4) and the Brewers, both of which could very tough, depending on the playoff situation and other factors. It would be very good to clinch the division before that Mets series, although a part of me would love to see them celebrate on the Mets’ home field. Off days are on 9/8 and 9/15.
Here is a link to their schedule/results page. Their games since the break:
|7/18||at Houston||L, 2-1||57-39|
|7/19||at Houston||L, 4-1||57-40|
|7/20||at Houston||W, 9-0||58-40|
|7/21||at Arizona||L, 2-0||58-41|
|7/22||at Arizona||L, 9-2||58-42|
|7/23||at Arizona||W, 10-6||59-42|
|7/26||FLORIDA||L, 3-2 (12)||60-44|
|7/28||at Milwaukee||W, 6-4||62-44|
|7/29||at Milwaukee||W, 7-1||63-44|
|7/30||at Milwaukee||W, 7-2||64-44|
|7/31||at Milwaukee||W, 11-4||65-44|
|8/4||HOUSTON||L, 2-0 (7½ inn.)||67-46|
|8/8||ST. LOUIS||W, 3-2 (11 inn.)||70-46|
|8/9||ST. LOUIS||L, 12-3||70-47|
|8/10||ST. LOUIS||W, 6-2||71-47|
|8/12||at Atlanta||Ppd., rain||71-47|
|8/13||at Atlanta||W, 10-2; W, 8-0||73-47|
|8/14||at Atlanta||W, 11-7||74-47|
|8/15||at Florida||W, 6-5||75-47|
|8/16||at Florida||L, 2-1||75-48|
|8/17||at Florida||W, 9-2||76-48|